Morning Jolt: Gillespie vs. Northam: The Story Ends Tonight

We're used to political junkies analyzing and griping about polls. But in Virginia, the complaint is on stronger ground, at least looking back at the 2013 and 2014 elections, when the Republican statewide candidate finished significantly higher than the final polling results. One can even throw in Bob McDonnell's 2009 landslide; the final RealClearPolitics average had him winning by 13.4 percentage points, and he went on to win by 17.5 points.

Today's gubernatorial election in Virginia will let us know if pollsters have adjusted for the state's quirks and changing demographics and response trends. Democrats can reassure themselves that the 2016 presidential results in the state were more or less in line with the final poll results.

This morning, the RealClearPolitics average shows ...

November 07 2017

VISIT NATIONALREVIEW.COM

Gillespie vs. Northam: The Story Ends Tonight Jim Geraghty We're used to political junkies analyzing and griping about polls. But in Virginia, the complaint is on stronger ground, at least looking back at the 2013 and 2014 elections, when the Republican statewide candidate finished significantly higher than the final polling results. One can even throw in Bob McDonnell's 2009 landslide; the final RealClearPolitics average had him winning by 13.4 percentage points, and he went on to win by 17.5 points. Today's gubernatorial election in Virginia will let us know if pollsters have adjusted for the state's quirks and changing demographics and response trends. Democrats can reassure themselves that the 2016 presidential results in the state were more or less in line with the final poll results. This morning, the RealClearPolitics average shows ... READ MORE In the Face of Evil, Prayer Is the Most Rational and Effective Response David French When you see a mass murder unfold on the television screen or read about it online, let me tell you the single-most important and effective thing you can do in response. It also happens to be... Diversity-Visa Lottery Is a Jackpot for Immigrants from Terror States Deroy Murdock Diversity-Visa Lottery Is a Jackpot for Immigrants from Terror States ADVERTISEMENT Why Gun Control Loses Ramesh Ponnuru Editor's note: This piece originally appeared in the October 30, 2017, issue of National Review. Everyone knew, after the massacre in Las Vegas, that gun control was not going to get... Hillary-Worship and Liberal Indoctrination Won't Make Your Daughters 'Woke' Bethany Mandel Editor's Note: The following piece originally appeared at Acculturated. It is reprinted here with permission. A curious thing happened in my Facebook newsfeed after the election. Suddenly,... The Conservative Inequality Paradox Brink Lindsey, Steven Teles Conservatives have two intellectual commitments that are increasingly incompatible. They believe that the American economy is clogged up with crony-capitalist corruption that hands out special... One Hundred Years of Hell Arthur Herman One hundred years ago today, November 7, Vladimir Ilyich Lenin overthrew the newly established Russian republic and its provisional government with the help of disaffected soldiers from the... ADVERTISEMENT Clear by Fire: A Search and Destroy Thriller Joshua Hood 'Fast paced and with a sharp eye for detail, Clear by Fire reads like it was written by someone who carries a gun for a living. There is no substituting authenticity, and Hood has it in spades.' - Kevin Maurer, co-author, No Easy Day: The Firsthand Account of the Mission that Killed Osama Bin Laden LEARN MORE Battle of Beersheba Alabama Sports Culture ADVERTISEMENT Follow Us & Share 215 Lexington Ave., New York, NY, 10016, USA Your Preferences | Unsubscribe | Privacy View this e-mail in your browser.