Morning Jolt: Psst! Those Open Seat House Races Don’t Look Bad for the Republicans After All!

Did it take a lot of time to go through the 34 House districts where an incumbent Republican is retiring? Yes. Yes, it did.

But when you go through those open seat House districts one by one, something becomes very clear: About two-thirds of them are very heavily GOP districts. I can give you a statistic like "25 out of the 34 districts are ones where Trump won by 10 points or more," but it's better to go through all of my one-paragraph summaries and get a sense of just how red some of these places are: The eastern half of Idaho. Muncie, Indiana. The suburbs of Jackson, Mississippi. Republicans have held New Mexico's Second District every cycle except one since 1980. Republicans have held Ohio's 16th district every cycle except one since 1973. The last time a Democrat represented Pennsylvania's ninth district, Franklin Roosevelt was president. The last time a Democrat represented Tennessee's second district was ...

January 25 2018

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Psst! Those Open Seat House Races Don't Look Bad for the Republicans After All! Jim Geraghty Did it take a lot of time to go through the 34 House districts where an incumbent Republican is retiring? Yes. Yes, it did. But when you go through those open seat House districts one by one, something becomes very clear: About two-thirds of them are very heavily GOP districts. I can give you a statistic like "25 out of the 34 districts are ones where Trump won by 10 points or more," but it's better to go through all of my one-paragraph summaries and get a sense of just how red some of these places are: The eastern half of Idaho. Muncie, Indiana. The suburbs of Jackson, Mississippi. Republicans have held New Mexico's Second District every cycle except one since 1980. Republicans have held Ohio's 16th district every cycle except one since 1973. The last time a Democrat represented Pennsylvania's ninth district, Franklin Roosevelt was president. The last time a Democrat represented Tennessee's second district was ... READ MORE Whither Conservative Merger Policy? Joshua D. Wright When President Trump was first voted into office, there was significant speculation as to what changes we could expect to see within antitrust enforcement. The Obama administration had for eight... Against the Tariffs The Editors Against the Tariffs ADVERTISEMENT Why You Should Ignore Every 2020 Poll Myra Adams Here is a recent headline that surely confounds young, hip, Democratic women looking forward to fresh, future leadership: "Poll: Biden holds double-digit lead over field of 2020 Dem presidential... Knowing right from wrong, &c. Jay Nordlinger In Vanity Fair, Adam Ciralsky had a fascinating article on the last days of Harvey Weinstein. By "last days," I mean the days leading up to his exposure in the press — his exposure as a sexual... The Decay of Truth George Will It cannot be a sign of social health that the number of tweets per day worldwide exploded from 5,000 in 2007 to 500 million six years later. And this might be related, by a few degrees of... Will the Liberals Take the Lead on Trade? Kevin D. Williamson The libertarian tendency in the United States has in the modern era been associated with the Right and with the Republican party, often to the dismay of such thinkers as David Boaz of the Cato... ADVERTISEMENT Northern Armageddon: The Battle of the Plains of Abraham and the Making of the American Revolution D. Peter MacLeod "Definitive . . . superb in its combination of individual perspective and strategic narrative . . . This book tells us – brilliantly – both how the battle was fought, and what it meant." - Eliot A. Cohen, author of Conquered into Liberty: Two Centuries of Battles Along the Great Warpath that Made the American Way of War LEARN MORE Baseball Hall of Fame SAG Awards Red Carpet ADVERTISEMENT Follow Us & Share 19 West 44th Street, Suite 1701, New York, NY, 10036, USA Your Preferences | Unsubscribe | Privacy View this e-mail in your browser.