Morning Jolt: Will Democrats Catch a November Wave?

Today, we take a look at recent polls in the upcoming midterm elections, the possible effect of rising home values on birth rates, and the administration separating itself from its own policy.

Midterm Update

For all the talk of a "blue wave" this November, the outcome of the midterm elections seems entirely in doubt. The Senate map is extremely favorable to Republicans; the Democratic lead in the "generic ballot" is nowhere near its double-digit highs from winter; Democrats did not do as well as they would have hoped in the recent California primary elections.

The widely followed Cook Political Report has downgraded two competitive House races in the Democratic direction. The seat of Barbara Comstock (R., Va.), representing the state's tenth congressional district, is now considered a Democratic lean rather than a toss-up. Comstock faces Democratic state senator Jennifer Wexton. In Kentucky, the race between three-term incumbent Andy Barr, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Amy McGrath, is now considered a toss-up.

Some interesting polls have emerged in key Senate races. Bob Casey (D., Pa.) seems poised to fend off challenger Lou ...

June 21 2018

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Will Democrats Catch a November Wave? Theodore Kupfer Today, we take a look at recent polls in the upcoming midterm elections, the possible effect of rising home values on birth rates, and the administration separating itself from its own policy. Midterm Update For all the talk of a "blue wave" this November, the outcome of the midterm elections seems entirely in doubt. The Senate map is extremely favorable to Republicans; the Democratic lead in the "generic ballot" is nowhere near its double-digit highs from winter; Democrats did not do as well as they would have hoped in the recent California primary elections. The widely followed Cook Political Report has downgraded two competitive House races in the Democratic direction. The seat of Barbara Comstock (R., Va.), representing the state's tenth congressional district, is now considered a Democratic lean rather than a toss-up. Comstock faces Democratic state senator Jennifer Wexton. In Kentucky, the race between three-term incumbent Andy Barr, a Republican, and Democratic challenger Amy McGrath, is now considered a toss-up. Some interesting polls have emerged in key Senate races. Bob Casey (D., Pa.) seems poised to fend off challenger Lou ... Read More Top Stories Professor: Learning Math Can Cause 'Collateral Damage' to Society Katherine Timpf Some things in life are objective and rational, and that's perfectly... The Political Malpractice of Family Separation Michael Brendan Dougherty The Political Malpractice of Family Separation REPORT: White House to Propose Departments of Labor and Education Merger Jack Crowe A streamlining of the executive branch has been a longstanding conservative goal, but it's not clear that this Republican controlled Congress has the political will to pull it off. ADVERTISEMENT The Propagandist and the Censor Andrew Stuttaford Fake news is a problem; so are the likely... Enforce Immigration Law or Change It Kevin D. Williamson What's needed is... After Trump Ramesh Ponnuru His grip on the GOP is partial and... Scandals Sanitized with Linguistic Trickery Victor Davis Hanson Obama becomes an unnamed 'government official,' 'investigation' becomes a 'matter,' and 'illegal' becomes... Trump Signs Executive Order Prohibiting Family Separation at Border Mairead McArdle In announcing the executive order, Trump said that he expected Congress to match it with a legislative fix soon. ADVERTISEMENT Introducing NRPLUS We're 'Plus' for Some Very Good Reasons When you become an NRPLUS member, you join an exclusive National Review community, with benefits that touch the content you receive, your website experience, and ultimately your ability to help shape the conservative conversation. LEARN MORE TODAY Photo Essays Cartoons of the Day: June 20, 2018 Photoshop of the Day: June 18th-June 22nd ADVERTISEMENT ADVERTISEMENT Follow Us & Share 19 West 44th Street, Suite 1701, New York, NY, 10036, USA Your Preferences | Unsubscribe | Privacy View this e-mail in your browser.