Morning Jolt: How the 2018 Midterms Will Shape 2020

Every midterm election is, in one form or another, a referendum on the president. What's more, the last three consecutive midterms have been awful for the president's party — 2006, 2010, and 2014.

There are intermittent signs that the midterm won't be quite so bad for Republicans as the "blue wave" talk predicts. Polling finally has Martha McSally up ahead of Kyrsten Sinema in the Arizona Senate race, although it's close. The recent live-updated New York Times/Siena surveys show Republicans hanging on in Illinois's sixth and 12th congressional districts, Kentucky's sixth district, and close in California's 48th, and with a decent shot of picking up a seat in Minnesota's eighth. The Tennessee Senate ...

September 10 2018

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How the 2018 Midterms Will Shape 2020

Jim Geraghty

Every midterm election is, in one form or another, a referendum on the president. What's more, the last three consecutive midterms have been awful for the president's party — 2006, 2010, and 2014.

There are intermittent signs that the midterm won't be quite so bad for Republicans as the "blue wave" talk predicts. Polling finally has Martha McSally up ahead of Kyrsten Sinema in the Arizona Senate race, although it's close. The recent live-updated New York Times/Siena surveys show Republicans hanging on in Illinois's sixth and 12th congressional districts, Kentucky's sixth district, and close in California's 48th, and with a decent shot of picking up a seat in Minnesota's eighth. The Tennessee Senate ... Read More

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