Morning Jolt: What to Expect in the Midterm Elections for the GOP

Making the click-through worthwhile: four key takeaways about the state of the GOP as early voting begins in the midterm elections; Hillary Clinton holds civility hostage; the world's  thuggish regimes start getting cocky; and where you can vote early.

The Big Midterm Election Preview, 27 Days Out

What follows are some cautious assessments about the 2018 midterms, gleaned from looking at recent polling. (Insert all appropriate caveats: Yes, the polls are sometimes wrong; yes, Trump's victory in 2016 surprised a lot of people even if the final-popular vote split was in line with the polling average; yes, polling response rates are low; yes, everyone should work like they're ten points down even if they're ten points up.)

One: Democrats are going to pick up some governorships that slipped away from them for the past few cycles. In Illinois, Democrat J. B. Pritzker is comfortably ahead of incumbent Republican Bruce Rauner. (Some National Review readers may not consider that a significant loss ...

October 10 2018

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What to Expect in the Midterm Elections for the GOP Jim Geraghty Making the click-through worthwhile: four key takeaways about the state of the GOP as early voting begins in the midterm elections; Hillary Clinton holds civility hostage; the world's  thuggish regimes start getting cocky; and where you can vote early. The Big Midterm Election Preview, 27 Days Out What follows are some cautious assessments about the 2018 midterms, gleaned from looking at recent polling. (Insert all appropriate caveats: Yes, the polls are sometimes wrong; yes, Trump's victory in 2016 surprised a lot of people even if the final-popular vote split was in line with the polling average; yes, polling response rates are low; yes, everyone should work like they're ten points down even if they're ten points up.) One: Democrats are going to pick up some governorships that slipped away from them for the past few cycles. In Illinois, Democrat J. B. Pritzker is comfortably ahead of incumbent Republican Bruce Rauner. (Some National Review readers may not consider that a significant loss ... Read More ADVERTISEMENT Top Stories The Most Important Movie You've Never Heard Of Michelle Malkin "Gosnell: The Trial of America's Biggest Serial Killer" debuts in theaters nationwide October 12. This groundbreaking film is the most important movie in America right now -- a true-life saga of good vs. evil, deadly medical malpractice, systemic government malfeasance, and cultural apathy. If You Think Our Politics Can't Get Uglier Than the Kavanaugh Fight, Think Again Jonah Goldberg If you think American politics can't get uglier than the Brett Kavanaugh fight, think again: They can, and they will. UNC Prof. Nominates Blasey Ford for Distinguished-Alumna Award Jack Crowe An English professor at Christine Blasey Ford's alma mater has nominated her for a distinguished-alumna award for 'speaking truth to power.' ADVERTISEMENT Why the Left Won't Take Up Originalism Kevin D. Williamson The progressives want more than democracy can give them. Tribal Warfare Isn't All Bad J. J. McCullough People who complain about polarization are really complaining about democracy. What to Expect if Democrats Win the House Michael Tanner Expect more big spending and investigation of administration officials but no big-ticket items from the Left's agenda. Don't Let Transgender Activists Politicize Child Health Care Madeleine Kearns What's at stake here is child welfare and scientific integrity. Heitkamp Opposed Kavanaugh Due to His 'Body Language' at Hearing Jack Crowe The North Dakota Democrat said Monday that she was prepared to vote for Kavanaugh until she watched his Judiciary Committee testimony with the sound off. ADVERTISEMENT JOIN NRPLUS All Our Content. Fewer Ads. Members-Only Privileges. NRPLUS is everything you would associate with a digital magazine subscription, and a whole lot more ─ including up to 90% fewer on-site ads, access to our private Facebook group, full commenting privileges, and invites to our writer/editor conference calls. SAVE 40% TODAY Photo Essays Cartoons of the Day: October 8, 2018 Cartoons of the Day: October 5, 2018 ADVERTISEMENT Follow Us & Share 19 West 44th Street, Suite 1701, New York, NY, 10036, USA Your Preferences | Unsubscribe | Privacy View this e-mail in your browser.