Morning Jolt: What Happened to That Democratic Voter Surge?

Good morning. If tonight's debate, starting at 8 p.m. Eastern on CBS, doesn't turn into a dogpile on Bernie Sanders quickly, then the rest of the field doesn't really want to win.

On the menu today: sorting through the meager evidence that the Bernie Sanders campaign can stir up enthusiasm and bring out new voters, what percentage of the electorate in each swing state is likely to remember the Cold War, and the reasons to keep in mind that even Bernie Sanders would not necessarily be easy to beat in a general election.

Wasn't There Supposed to Be a Surge of New Democratic Voters by Now?

One reason to look forward to Super Tuesday is that it will give us our first large-scale comparison of turnout in the Democratic primaries of 2016 and this year's primaries. Since about late Election Night 2016, Democrats have believed that President Donald Trump is a one-man Democratic get-out-the-vote machine, and they certainly saw supporting evidence for that theory in the 2018 House races. Suburban soccer moms and white-collar dads who had previously split favorably to Republicans turned to the Democrats in significant ...

WITH JIM GERAGHTY February 25 2020 WITH JIM GERAGHTY February 25 2020 What Happened to That Democratic Voter Surge? Good morning. If tonight's debate, starting at 8 p.m. Eastern on CBS, doesn't turn into a dogpile on Bernie Sanders quickly, then the rest of the field doesn't really want to win. On the menu today: sorting through the meager evidence that the Bernie Sanders campaign can stir up enthusiasm and bring out new voters, what percentage of the electorate in each swing state is likely to remember the Cold War, and the reasons to keep in mind that even Bernie Sanders would not necessarily be easy to beat in a general election. Wasn't There Supposed to Be a Surge of New Democratic Voters by Now? One reason to look forward to Super Tuesday is that it will give us our first large-scale comparison of turnout in the Democratic primaries of 2016 and this year's primaries. Since about late Election Night 2016, Democrats have believed that President Donald Trump is a one-man Democratic get-out-the-vote machine, and they certainly saw supporting evidence for that theory in the 2018 House races. Suburban soccer moms and white-collar dads who had previously split favorably to Republicans turned to the Democrats in significant ...   READ MORE

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