Morning Jolt: A Surprising Minnesota Poll

On the menu today: A new poll in Minnesota seems way out of whack from past polls and expectations; Trump offers his trademark clear and insightful perspective on wearing masks; an example of hyperbolic headline-writing; and in a few states, the election has already begun.

A 'Say What?' Poll Result in Minnesota

Count me among those who thought Minnesota represented President Trump's best chance to win a state that was blue last time around. Trump lost the state by only two points in 2016, and culturally and economically, it's not that different from other usually blue upper Midwestern states that Trump won last time around — Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and arguably Pennsylvania.

Back on August 20, I noted that the Trafalgar poll had Trump only down by about three points. It was easy to envision a scenario where Minnesota's suburbanites, horrified and angry about the rioting they saw in Minneapolis, concluded that Democrats had proven feckless and hapless in the face of destructive violence, and figured Joe Biden would ...

WITH JIM GERAGHTY September 16 2020 WITH JIM GERAGHTY September 16 2020 A Surprising Minnesota Poll On the menu today: A new poll in Minnesota seems way out of whack from past polls and expectations; Trump offers his trademark clear and insightful perspective on wearing masks; an example of hyperbolic headline-writing; and in a few states, the election has already begun. A 'Say What?' Poll Result in Minnesota Count me among those who thought Minnesota represented President Trump's best chance to win a state that was blue last time around. Trump lost the state by only two points in 2016, and culturally and economically, it's not that different from other usually blue upper Midwestern states that Trump won last time around — Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, and arguably Pennsylvania. Back on August 20, I noted that the Trafalgar poll had Trump only down by about three points. It was easy to envision a scenario where Minnesota's suburbanites, horrified and angry about the rioting they saw in Minneapolis, concluded that Democrats had proven feckless and hapless in the face of destructive violence, and figured Joe Biden would ...   READ MORE

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