Morning Jolt: What Trump Needs to Win

On the menu today: walking through President Trump's not-so-implausible route to 270 electoral votes, state by state, and taking a look at the gubernatorial races this year — where GOP candidates from deep red states to a few blue ones are polling considerably ahead of Trump this cycle; and how the country just missed the sight of former Maine senator Olympia Snowe moving into the White House.

Trump Has a Route to 270 Electoral Votes

Right now, the most confident Trump fans are overestimating the likelihood he wins another term, while the most confident Biden fans are drastically underestimating how just a handful of cases of Biden underperforming in his polls — the way Hillary Clinton did — could bring Donald Trump to a second term.

It's easy to forget that Trump won with 306 electoral votes four years ago — two of his electors were faithless — and thus he can give away 36 electoral votes and hit the critical threshold of 270. He doesn't need to win Wisconsin. He doesn't need to win Michigan. He could lose both of those states and Iowa, and still finish above 270 electoral votes.

The first step for Trump ...

WITH JIM GERAGHTY October 26 2020 WITH JIM GERAGHTY October 26 2020 What Trump Needs to Win On the menu today: walking through President Trump's not-so-implausible route to 270 electoral votes, state by state, and taking a look at the gubernatorial races this year — where GOP candidates from deep red states to a few blue ones are polling considerably ahead of Trump this cycle; and how the country just missed the sight of former Maine senator Olympia Snowe moving into the White House. Trump Has a Route to 270 Electoral Votes Right now, the most confident Trump fans are overestimating the likelihood he wins another term, while the most confident Biden fans are drastically underestimating how just a handful of cases of Biden underperforming in his polls — the way Hillary Clinton did — could bring Donald Trump to a second term. It's easy to forget that Trump won with 306 electoral votes four years ago — two of his electors were faithless — and thus he can give away 36 electoral votes and hit the critical threshold of 270. He doesn't need to win Wisconsin. He doesn't need to win Michigan. He could lose both of those states and Iowa, and still finish above 270 electoral votes. The first step for Trump ...   READ MORE

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