This is the last Morning Jolt of 2021. I'll see you January 3. Let's close out the year by looking at what 2021 brought us and what 2022 is likely to bring. I think the one word that will most succinctly summarize 2022 is "reckoning."
A Settling of Accounts
I can't predict specifically what's going to happen in 2022. But I think I can predict the general theme of the coming year: a reckoning, in the sense of a settling of accounts.
Up until the Trump era, America's role in the world was shaped by a somewhat bipartisan consensus, sometimes snidely referred to as the foreign-policy "blob." If you look at the worldview of the Davos conference, the United Nations, the World Bank, and most of the employees of the State Department, you see this worldview at work: Diplomacy solves problems. We offer tsk-tsk statements about human rights. Engagement with other countries always pays off in the end.
The Trump presidency offered a brief interruption of that consensus but without much of a coherent alternative. The Trump administration was ...
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