On the menu today: I wish the news were better, but the situation is grim. The best news is that the Ukrainians are fighting hard, and in the first days of the invasion, the Russians are finding tough resistance almost everywhere. But no one knows how long they can hold on, and there are some ominous signs that President Biden is going wobbly — perhaps not even continuing arms shipments to the Ukrainians. This is a contest of wills.
The Ukrainians Are Standing Firm — For Now
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is in its early stages. In the coming days, the Russian military is likely going to throw a lot more forces into the arena; war is hell, the fighting is ugly, and it's probably going to get uglier. But after the first day of fighting, the Ukrainians are largely holding off and repelling the Russians in key spots — at least, that's what British intelligence sees:
Russia intends to take the whole of Ukraine but the Russian army failed to deliver it main objectives on the first day ...
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